tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7379852154632083911.post8595195187888798544..comments2023-11-26T08:21:11.241-05:00Comments on Connecticut Audubon Society: FrankenstormAnonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13853275809222555789noreply@blogger.comBlogger3125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7379852154632083911.post-83821322958182199572012-11-02T17:22:26.004-04:002012-11-02T17:22:26.004-04:00The models don't work in that way. They use ob...The models don't work in that way. They use observed weather data from the field and input to project the conditions based on what we have right now and other programmed information. They're all very different though in terms of what they are meant to do (short-term, long-term, specific tropical, etc.) and amazingly the big ones all nailed this storm more than any other system of this magnitude ever. It was a classic coup with stunning accuracy. Go scientists/science.<br /><br />The birds seek cover like you allude to, Tiffany, and fight it out in their own way. They're tough and can hang on better than we can in many ways.Scott Kruitboschhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16548751893152403641noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7379852154632083911.post-89901239147934925312012-10-29T16:28:13.996-04:002012-10-29T16:28:13.996-04:00Just what I wanted to read, great article. I am wo...Just what I wanted to read, great article. I am wondering what's going to happen to all the birds out there. I live in the northeast and we can see species like red breasted robins trying to hang on with all their might in the dense thickets. I feel bad for them!Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/18414032935332270361noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7379852154632083911.post-59604147527110572742012-10-28T15:56:02.510-04:002012-10-28T15:56:02.510-04:00I have seen the comment (elsewhere) that all the m...I have seen the comment (elsewhere) that all the models agree on the storm's future path. Yet, as you point out, there is no precedent for this storm, so the past behaviors that the various models are built around did not include this combination of events. That makes me suspect the models, which have to be extrapolating far more than usual. Perhaps they all agree because, out beyond the data points in their history, they all make the same assumptions? Assumptions that have never been tested in this way? All of which is another way of saying, don't be surprised if the storm does not act as expected.rmharveyhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17819502327298247865noreply@blogger.com